Italy - Serie A for 01/09/05

[quantumleap]

Sampdoria +1 -101 over Inter Milan (Pinnacle)
Both teams even in the tables. Sampdoria is doing rather well by handling an otherwise strong Udinese team. I look for a draw here.

Lecce -0.5 -105 over Reggina (Canbet)
Reggina has scored only 4 goals on the road this year in the league and has only won against Atalanta.

Lots of unders to bet here as the poor-scoring teams play each other-

AC Milan/Palermo under 2.5 -143 (EuroBet)
Palermo has only allowed 3 goals in 8 matches at home. Milan has only allowed 2 goals in 8 matches on the road.

Atalanta/Roma under 2.5 +103 (betCRIS)
Atalanta has not had a total go over 1 in their last 7 matches. They scored their first goal last week after going 7 matches without scoring.

Parma/Siena under 2.5 -125 (Globet)
Parma has scored 6 goals in 8 road matches. Siena has scored 7 goals in 8 home matches.

Messina/Brescia under 2.5 -125 (Betinternet)
Messina has scored 7 goals in 8 road matches while Brescia has scored 5 goals in 8 home matches.

 

[chriscol]

No German soccer yet, so i capped the seria a today:

Inter/Sampdoria Over 2.5 @ 1.96

Messina/Brescia under 2,2.5 @ 2.06
Parma/Siena over 2,2.5@ 1.962
Udinese -0.5 @ 1.75
2-team parlay: Roma to win (1.38) and Juve to win (1.2) for a combined 1.66 !!2 units!!

 

[chriscol]

That is a the mother of all bad beats (or pushes) for you quantum.

Sampdoria 2-0 up conceiding 3 !!!! goals in injury time from Inter...unbelievable.
it you bagged nevertheless the right side in the game

 

[quantumleap]

That is a the mother of all bad beats (or pushes) for you quantum.

Sampdoria 2-0 up conceiding 3 !!!! goals in injury time from Inter...unbelievable.
it you bagged nevertheless the right side in the game

I had already chalked that up as a win.

This sets up a "bad beat" situation with Sampdoria so I'll be looking at the line for their next match.

 

[quantumleap]

Results so far:

How can a team give up 3 goals in 2 minutes + injury time???

Inter Milan 3, Sampdoria 2 (+0.00)
Lecce 1, Reggina 1 (-1.00)
Roma 2, Atalanta 1 (-1.00) [Atalanta scores in the 85th minute to put this over.]
Parma 1, Siena 0 (+0.80)
Messina 2, Brescia 0 (+0.80)

Net so far: -0.40

AC Milan/Palermo yet to play.

I went from a possible 4 wins/1 loss with 5 minutes to go to end up going 2 wins/1 draw/2 losses. That's the way it goes sometimes. I've had fortune go my way like this at other times.

 

[quantumleap]

No German soccer yet, so i capped the seria a today:

Inter/Sampdoria Over 2.5 @ 1.96

Messina/Brescia under 2,2.5 @ 2.06
Parma/Siena over 2,2.5@ 1.962
Udinese -0.5 @ 1.75
2-team parlay: Roma to win (1.38) and Juve to win (1.2) for a combined 1.66 !!2 units!!

Nice run chriscol.

I've been playing Udinese all year. I don't know why I didn't play them today. Something tells me that I thought the line was more than -0.5.

 

[chriscol]

line was actually -1,-0.5 at even , so i played udinese straight.

they are the most underrated team by the bookies next to everton. every week they keep winning for great value.

do you have any leans for the late games tonight???

i lean towards:
barca -0.5,
and Milan straight to win for 1.76 (why not, even chances are good for a draw, but they have to keep the pace with juve)
Madrid derby i am not sure.. i lean toward real and the over.

 

[chriscol]

these are all live games on tv and i would like some small action just in case the NFL game becomes boring and a easy cover by Denver (+10) taking a lead (not realistic, but you never know)

 

[quantumleap]

line was actually -1,-0.5 at even , so i played udinese straight.

do you have any leans for the late games tonight???

I think that's why I didn't take Udinese (because of the -1 in there). They fit a bad beat situation losing to Sampdoria large the week before but I didn't catch that.

I'm taking a liking to Palermo unders lately so I have the AC Milan/Palermo under 2.5. They had 6 matches in a row under 2.5. I especially like them at home where they have only given up 3 goals this season.

I haven't done well in the Spanish league which is all well with me since I have been too busy with work to put in a good effort.